← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.71 |
| Cardiff win | 9% | 11.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cardiff −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
| 13' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 44' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Cardiff |
| 50' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 63' | 🟨 | Callum O'Dowda · Cardiff |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
| 67' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 88' | ⚽ | Mateo Joseph · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 2 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 14 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 581.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1601.81 | 1405.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.75 | 32.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 60.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -1.26 |
| solidity v1 | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 278.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.22 |