← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Stoke win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hull −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Eliot Matazo · Hull |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ali Al-Hamadi · Stoke |
| 60' | 🟨 | Matty Jacob · Hull |
| 74' | ⚽ | Andrew Moran · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 62.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1410.09 | 1419.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.23 | -1.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.24 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 146.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.87 |