← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Plymouth win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.75 | 54% | 1.82 |
| West Brom +0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 74' | ⚽ | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1404.22 | 1505.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.33 | 10.17 |
| eye test v1 | -1.74 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | -0.59 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.99 |
| state index | -1.54 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.42 | 1.57 |