← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Gillett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Portsmouth win | 16% | 6.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| West Brom −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 32' | ⚽ | Grady Diangana · West Brom |
| 37' | ⚽ | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 44' | ⚽ | Grady Diangana · West Brom |
| 56' | ⚽ | John Swift · West Brom |
| 60' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Portsmouth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thomas Waddingham · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 24.00 | 755.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1489.51 | 1493.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.97 | 10.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -1.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.09 | — |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 200.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.21 |