← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 77% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.36 |
| Plymouth win | 8% | 13.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −1.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Plymouth −1.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Anthony Patterson · Plymouth |
| 60' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 71' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 72' | ⚽ | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 79' | 🟨 | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nathanael Ogbeta · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 208.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1537.18 | 1399.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.80 | -23.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 54.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 1.23 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 23.43 | — |
| state index | 0.55 | -1.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 0.56 |