← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
| Watford win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Coventry −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 32' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 50' | 🟨 | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 51' | 🟨 | James Morris · Watford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yasser Larouci · Watford |
| 75' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Liam Kitching · Watford |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissoko · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 85.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1485.85 | 1427.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.30 | -20.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.57 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 116.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.03 |