← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Blackburn win | 20% | 5.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
| 12' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 14' | 🟨 | Dion Sanderson · Blackburn |
| 24' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 40' | ⚽ | Andreas Weimann · Blackburn |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 77' | ⚽ | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max O'Leary · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 451.00 | 359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1491.68 | 1461.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.07 | -15.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 38.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.96 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.95 |