← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Oxford win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Stoke −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 39' | 🟨 | Tom Bradshaw · Oxford |
| 46' | 🟨 | Michael Rose · Stoke |
| 76' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 81' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Lowe · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1418.66 | 1503.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.94 | 26.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -1.05 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.73 |