← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Swansea win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Swansea −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Oscar Schwartau · Norwich |
| 61' | 🟨 | Emiliano Marcondes · Norwich |
| 62' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 63' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 76' | ⚽ | Lewis Dobbin · Norwich |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
| 86' | ⚽ | Emiliano Marcondes · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 208.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1413.19 | 1435.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.14 | -36.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 65.80 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 1.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.35 | 26.72 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.27 |