← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| West Brom win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 79' | 🟨 | Dael Fry · Middlesbrough |
| 83' | ⚽ | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 843.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1472.01 | 1503.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.94 | -2.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 235.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.24 |