← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Stoke win | 24% | 4.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nathan Lowe · Stoke |
| 66' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 71' | ⚽ | Grady Diangana · West Brom |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 17.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1507.15 | 1425.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.69 | -6.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 40.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.90 |
| solidity v1 | 0.94 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 55.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.06 |