← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Portsmouth win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
| 30' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Portsmouth |
| 54' | ⚽ | Matt Ritchie · Portsmouth |
| 55' | 🟨 | George Edmundson · Middlesbrough |
| 82' | ⚽ | Matt Ritchie · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 748.00 | 840.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1475.02 | 1480.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.97 | 5.49 |
| eye test v1 | -1.20 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | 0.84 |
| solidity v1 | -1.17 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 420.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.01 |