← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| Oxford win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 33' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 53' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 65' | 🟨 | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
| 67' | ⚽ | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 48.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1489.58 | 1487.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.51 | -4.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.82 |
| league points | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.21 |