← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Sunderland win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sunderland −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 84' | 🟨 | CJ Egan-Riley · Burnley |
| 87' | 🟨 | Enzo Le Fée · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaidon Anthony · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Trafford · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Ballard · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 200.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1583.92 | 1528.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.38 | 10.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.68 |
| league points | 52.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 13.31 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 1.55 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 24.22 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 136.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.43 |