← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 15, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Portsmouth win | 19% | 5.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Blackburn −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 61' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 71' | ⚽ | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
| 76' | ⚽ | Andreas Weimann · Blackburn |
| 81' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 349.00 | 745.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1472.20 | 1490.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.85 | -4.32 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 11.30 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -1.64 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 340.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.91 |