← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Oxford win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Oxford −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 63' | ⚽ | Rami Al Hajj · Plymouth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 13.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1424.39 | 1489.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.04 | 18.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 10.30 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.97 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 0.90 |