← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Jan 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Luton win | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| QPR −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · QPR |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mark McGuinness · Luton |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jonathan Varane · QPR |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tahith Chong · Luton |
| 62' | ⚽ | Morgan Fox · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 463.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1425.19 | 1403.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.54 | -29.97 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 5.31 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.82 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.02 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 43.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.82 |