← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Portsmouth win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Sunderland −1.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ryley Towler · Portsmouth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
| 67' | 🟥 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 188.00 | 735.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1520.46 | 1498.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.30 | -22.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.20 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -1.39 |
| solidity v1 | 0.37 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.24 | — |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 458.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.96 |