← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Sheffield United win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 20' | ⚽ | Jeremy Ngakia · Watford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tom Davies · Sheffield United |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matthew Pollock · Watford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 309.00 | 400.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1600.60 | 1705.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.79 | -15.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| league points | 37.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 204.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.17 |