← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Cardiff win | 17% | 5.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 21' | ⚽ | Calum Chambers · Cardiff |
| 30' | 🟨 | Callum O'Dowda · Cardiff |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
| 76' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Cardiff |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 89' | 🟨 | Daniel Barlaser · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 826.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 4.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1485.03 | 1373.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.06 | 2.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 40.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -1.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 369.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 0.97 |