← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 42% | 2.30 |
| West Brom win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Swansea −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Ousmane Diakité · West Brom |
| 50' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 62' | 🟨 | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 66' | ⚽ | Tom Fellows · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Myles Peart-Harris · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mason Holgate · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joe Allen · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 369.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1463.46 | 1506.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.99 | 3.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | 0.55 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 27.62 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.69 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 165.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.34 |