← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Blackburn win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Burnley +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
| 40' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Burnley |
| 54' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 60' | ⚽ | Zian Flemming · Burnley |
| 87' | 🟨 | Josh Cullen · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 338.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1481.24 | 1574.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.71 | 23.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.47 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 18.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.90 |