← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Hull win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Daniel Barlaser · Middlesbrough |
| 84' | 🟨 | Harry Vaughan · Hull |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexander Gilbert · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 31.00 | 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1383.86 | 1475.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.66 | 0.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.43 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 107.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 0.92 |