← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.62 |
| Blackburn win | 9% | 10.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.72 |
| Under | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Andreas Weimann · Blackburn |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lewis Baker · Blackburn |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Pascal Struijk · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aynsley Pears · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 550.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1593.07 | 1476.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.95 | -2.93 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.82 |
| league points | 51.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 14.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.58 | -0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 2.00 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.15 | — |
| state index | 1.22 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 60.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.51 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 1.10 |