← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Cardiff win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Coventry +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 46' | ⚽ | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 47' | 🟥 | Callum Robinson · Cardiff |
| 83' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jak Alnwick · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 122.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1372.17 | 1469.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.77 | -5.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 1.23 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | — |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 159.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.90 |