← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
| Plymouth win | 20% | 4.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Plymouth +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 50' | ⚽ | Rami Al Hajj · Plymouth |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 65' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 0.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1422.16 | 1495.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.94 | 8.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 18.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.87 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -1.36 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.28 |