← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Burnley win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Burnley +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | George Edmundson · Middlesbrough |
| 54' | 🟨 | Josh Cullen · Burnley |
| 83' | 🟨 | Connor Roberts · Burnley |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Koleosho · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 820.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1474.60 | 1581.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.59 | 18.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.89 |
| league points | 36.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.49 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 25.39 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 109.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.81 |