← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Plymouth win | 24% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 61' | ⚽ | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
| 65' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 73' | 🟨 | Caleb Roberts · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 28.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1465.84 | 1433.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.90 | -53.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | -1.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.84 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 2.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.29 |