← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 |
| Portsmouth win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Portsmouth −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 32' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 35' | ⚽ | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 67' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 424.00 | 728.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1480.61 | 1498.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.57 | -13.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -1.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.23 |