← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Hull win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 69' | 🟨 | Lewis Baker · Blackburn |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ryan Longman · Hull |
| 80' | 🟨 | Owen Beck · Blackburn |
| 87' | 🟨 | John Buckley · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 332.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1491.37 | 1369.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.96 | -9.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.59 |
| league points | 38.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 139.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.11 |