← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Gillett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Derby win | 32% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Derby +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Derby |
| 40' | 🟨 | Tom Fellows · West Brom |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Mason Holgate · Derby |
| 81' | ⚽ | Grady Diangana · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ebou Adams · Derby |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Pride Park Stadium |
| coach days | 847.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1334.44 | 1505.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.22 | 13.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 4.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.49 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.15 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 57.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.00 |