← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.25 |
| Plymouth win | 11% | 9.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −1.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Coventry −1.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 20' | ⚽ | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 39' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 45' | ⚽ | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kornél Szűcs · Plymouth |
| 87' | 🟥 | Callum Wright · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 55.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1455.37 | 1448.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.85 | -61.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| league points | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | -2.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -1.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 2.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.28 | 1.36 |