← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Bankes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Luton win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bristol City −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 58' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 58' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 85' | 🟨 | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 421.00 | 786.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1473.52 | 1429.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.05 | -9.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.75 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.60 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.27 |