← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Blackburn win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Sunderland +0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 29' | 🟨 | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 33' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 51' | ⚽ | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 55' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
| 90' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 329.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1492.22 | 1522.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.13 | 12.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 23.46 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 149.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.48 |