← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Bristol City win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Bristol City |
| 19' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 28' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 34' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 43' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 21.00 | 417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1493.46 | 1485.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.33 | -9.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 32.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.67 | — |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.48 |