← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Norwich win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Norwich −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 39' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 42' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 42' | 🟨 | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 47' | ⚽ | Daniel Ballard · Sunderland |
| 49' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 53' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Norwich |
| 56' | 🟨 | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcelino Núñez · Norwich |
| 68' | 🟨 | Daniel Ballard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| 70' | 🟨 | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 70' | 🟥 | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| coach days | 173.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1517.17 | 1402.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.73 | 17.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| league points | 40.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| solidity v1 | 1.29 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.09 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 1.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 310.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.34 |