← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.85 |
| Plymouth win | 17% | 5.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +1 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Plymouth +1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.51 |
| Under | 35% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Lewis Gibson · Plymouth |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jonathan Howson · Middlesbrough |
| 70' | 🟨 | George Edmundson · Middlesbrough |
| 72' | ⚽ | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
| 77' | 🟨 | Nathanael Ogbeta · Plymouth |
| 77' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 84' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 87' | 🟨 | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Gannon-Doak · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 234.00 | 812.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1449.43 | 1474.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -64.69 | 0.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 2.12 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| league points | 17.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -2.21 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.37 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.97 |