← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Blackburn win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Millwall −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mihailo Ivanovic · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 20.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1481.73 | 1501.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.92 | 54.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.87 |
| league points | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.57 |