← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 82% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.83 |
| Oxford win | 5% | 19.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −2 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oxford −2 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
| 67' | ⚽ | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
| 73' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 539.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1779.84 | 1495.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.75 | -45.14 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 42.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.57 | -0.72 |
| solidity v1 | 1.39 | -1.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.18 | — |
| state index | 1.28 | -1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 0.66 |