← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 37% | 2.62 |
| West Brom win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| West Brom +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissoko · Watford |
| 35' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Watford |
| 50' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Watford |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 67' | ⚽ | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 70' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 81' | 🟨 | Tom Fellows · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | John Swift · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 289.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1617.39 | 1696.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.19 | 3.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 31.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.76 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 27.03 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 143.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 0.80 |