← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Millwall win | 17% | 5.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Millwall −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 37' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 54' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Millwall |
| 65' | 🟨 | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Billy Mitchell · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 805.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1465.97 | 1490.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.06 | -24.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.84 |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.23 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.14 |