← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| QPR win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| QPR −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 58' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 60' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 65' | ⚽ | Paul Smyth · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 409.00 | 440.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1489.48 | 1408.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.95 | 59.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.88 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -1.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.19 |