← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Portsmouth win | 24% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Derby −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Kane Wilson · Derby |
| 23' | ⚽ | Eiran Joe Cashin · Derby |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ebou Adams · Derby |
| 65' | ⚽ (og) | Marlon Pack · Derby |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tom McIntyre · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Pride Park Stadium |
| coach days | 834.00 | 712.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1314.33 | 1520.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.88 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -1.30 |
| solidity v1 | 1.06 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.19 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -1.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 237.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.59 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.44 |