← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Oxford win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 27' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 68' | ⚽ | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfie Lloyd · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morgan Fox · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 437.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1562.10 | 1520.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.58 | -16.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.00 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 11.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.91 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -1.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.93 | — |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.56 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.80 |