← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Watford win | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hull −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Kasey Palmer · Hull |
| 36' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jeremy Ngakia · Watford |
| 78' | 🟨 | Festy Ebosele · Watford |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abu Kamara · Hull |
| 82' | ⚽ | Chris Bedia · Hull |
| 88' | ⚽ | Rocco Vata · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 10.00 | 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1552.66 | 1617.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.17 | 2.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 15.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 11.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -0.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 27.60 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.33 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 233.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.04 |