← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 10, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.76 |
| Middlesbrough win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Leeds −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Maximilian Wöber · Middlesbrough |
| 71' | 🟨 | George Edmundson · Middlesbrough |
| 74' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 80' | 🟨 | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 89' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wöber · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 528.00 | 801.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1775.10 | 1685.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.73 | 25.84 |
| eye test v1 | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.21 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 38.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | 1.09 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 24.45 |
| state index | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 91.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 1.53 |