← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Bristol City win | 23% | 4.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sunderland −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Bristol City |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luke McNally · Bristol City |
| 68' | 🟨 | Chris Rigg · Sunderland |
| 83' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 84' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 86' | 🟨 | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 162.00 | 405.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 3.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1508.46 | 1487.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.92 | -5.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.40 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 1.03 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.18 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.31 |