← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Portsmouth win | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Ashley Barnes · Norwich |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jacob Lungi Sørensen · Norwich |
| 35' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
| 38' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Shane Duffy · Norwich |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcelino Núñez · Norwich |
| 88' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 709.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1525.74 | 1405.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.29 | 11.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.40 | 65.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | 1.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 29.36 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.77 | 1.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 260.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.50 |