← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Plymouth win | 21% | 4.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Swansea +0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Josh Key · Swansea |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 60' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 79' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Myles Peart-Harris · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 223.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1471.10 | 1469.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.57 | -8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 0.86 |
| solidity v1 | -1.91 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.10 | 1.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.42 | 1.46 |