← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Pawson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Stoke win | 20% | 4.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sunderland −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Lewis Koumas · Stoke |
| 7' | ⚽ | Tom Watson · Sunderland |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tom Watson · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 159.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1501.55 | 1450.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.66 | -0.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.80 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 33.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.69 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 1.00 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.33 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 220.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 2.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.10 |